The hull is in the water. How much of the ship is not? One number at launch decides what the rest of the build costs.
From the last ship you launched.
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Same ship, same scope — only the state it was in when it went into the water.
| Outfitting at launch | Gap vs norm | Extra outfitting labour | In money |
|---|
Money column appears once the planned outfitting labour is entered.
These are published norms, not a measurement of your yard. The 64% and the multipliers come from published work in the field. Your own figure is the only one that describes you.
The multiplier is the point, not the percentage. Work postponed does not stay the same price. In the shop it is 1×, on the block and slipway 3×, afloat 8×. The arithmetic here moves the displaced share from the 3× band to the 8× band and assumes the planned labour is spread evenly across the scope — a rough cut, not an audit.
Why ships go into the water unfinished. The mechanism is named directly: production is pushed to hit the milestones that release payments — steel cutting, block on the slipway, launch. The ship is launched against a payment milestone, not a technical state. The yard buys today's instalment with tomorrow's eight-fold labour.
If you cannot name the number — that is already the answer. The decision to launch is being made without the one figure that sets its cost.
This is one reading, taken by hand today. The same count can run by itself on a project you have on the floor now: the documents your yard already produces go to one place, and every week the count comes back — leak by package, forecast to completion — without anyone stopping to take a measurement.